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UK car insurance premiums rise for first time since 2012

AA figures show a 1.2% increase in average car insurance premiums in the third quarter of 2014, reversing two years of falling prices driven by intense competition.

By Editorial Desk Updated
A stylised light grey arrow sign on a grass verge beside a silver car parked on a sunlit urban street with traffic
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Car insurance premiums in the UK have risen for the first time in two years, with the AA reporting a 1.2% increase in its Shoparound index during the third quarter of 2014. The average quoted premium for a typical policy climbed to £531.33, up from £525.42 in the previous quarter. This marks a reversal after a sustained period of falling prices, which had squeezed insurer margins and led to widespread losses across the sector.

The AA attributed the increase to a rise in fraudulent claims, which have become both more frequent and more expensive according to figures from the Association of British Insurers. Fraudulent claims put direct pressure on insurers’ costs, which are typically passed on to policyholders through higher premiums. The AA’s Shoparound index, which averages the five cheapest premiums quoted for a typical risk, is widely used as a benchmark for the market.

Competitive pressure eases after years of falling premiums

From 2012 to 2014, UK car insurance prices fell sharply. The main driver was the rise of price comparison websites, which intensified competition and forced insurers to cut margins to attract business. As a result, many insurers reported underwriting losses, with premiums often failing to cover the cost of claims and overheads. The AA’s data shows that the third quarter of 2014 broke this trend, suggesting that the market may have reached the bottom of the cycle.

For insurers, the return to premium growth offers a chance to restore profitability after a difficult period. The combination of higher claims costs and persistent competition had left many companies operating at a loss. With the first signs of a sustained price recovery, some insurers are expected to report improved results in their next financial statements.

Impact on drivers and the wider market

For motorists, the end of falling premiums means higher costs for renewing or taking out new policies. While the increase is modest compared to the sharp declines of previous years, it signals a shift in the market dynamic. The AA and other industry observers suggest that unless fraudulent claims can be brought under control, further premium rises are likely.

The UK market remains one of the most competitive in Europe, but the era of ever-cheaper car insurance appears to be over for now. Insurers, having weathered a difficult period, are now focused on balancing competitive pricing with sustainable returns. For drivers, shopping around remains the best defence against further increases, but the days of annual double-digit price drops are likely behind them.

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